Middle East Positioned for Private Equity Growth Amid Global Market Recovery
A surge in global buyout investment and regional initiatives are driving private equity opportunities in the Gulf.
The Middle East is emerging as a significant hub for private equity investment, bolstered by a resurgence in global deal-making, according to Bain & Co.’s latest Global Private Equity report.
The report indicates a 37 percent increase in global buyout investment value, which has reached $602 billion in 2024. Contributing factors include declining interest rates, renewed investor confidence, and the pressing need to deploy idle capital in various markets.
Economic diversification efforts in the Gulf States are being accelerated through government-backed initiatives focusing on technology, renewable energy, and infrastructure development.
These initiatives are positioning private equity firms to take advantage of evolving market dynamics.
Gregory Garnier, head of Bain & Co.’s private equity practice in the region, has noted that the region is poised for growth and transformation, presenting unique opportunities for investors.
He added that success will hinge on leveraging local expertise, forming strategic partnerships, and employing innovative value-creation models.
The increase in activity within the Middle East reflects broader global trends in private equity.
Notably, public-to-private transactions are driving the market, with these deals accounting for $250 billion in 2024, nearly half of the transactions over $5 billion occurring in North America.
However, challenges persist amid this recovery; while fundraising has become increasingly difficult, investor caution remains a prominent theme due to prevailing economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Despite a rebound in exit activity, which rose by 34 percent to $468 billion, private equity firms contend with a backlog of approximately 29,000 unsold companies, which is constraining distributions to limited partners.
Valuation multiples remain elevated due to heightened competition for high-quality deals, and rising debt costs are complicating traditional leveraged buyouts.
Nevertheless, the Middle East is distinguishing itself as a critical market, with governments actively encouraging private equity investments through strategies such as Saudi Vision 2030, the United Arab Emirates’ economic diversification agenda, and long-term plans from Qatar.
Sovereign wealth funds in the region are playing an increasingly pivotal role, acting as significant limited partners and co-investors in both domestic and international deals.
Technological sectors continue to lead private equity investments globally, representing 33 percent of all buyout deals by value.
In the Middle East, investors are particularly focused on fintech, artificial intelligence, digital healthcare, and sustainable infrastructure projects.
These areas are consistent with a broader trend towards impact investing and sustainability, mirrored by governmental efforts aimed at fostering long-term, environmentally sustainable economic growth in the Gulf.
Looking forward, Bain & Co. anticipates ongoing recovery in the private equity sector through 2025, contingent upon stable economic policies and trade conditions.
Hugh MacArthur, chairman of Bain’s Global Private Equity practice, highlighted that despite the ongoing challenges posed by inflation, interest rate fluctuations, and geopolitical risks, there remains a general sense of cautious optimism within the industry.