US President's Decision to Pursue Negotiations Temporarily Lowers Crude Oil Futures by 2%.
BENGALURU: On Tuesday, oil prices saw a decline of 2 percent during early Asian trade following US President
Donald Trump's announcement that he had paused plans for an attack on Iran to facilitate negotiations aimed at ending the conflict in the Middle East.
As a result, Brent futures for July delivery decreased by $2.26, equivalent to a 2 percent fall, settling at $109.84 per barrel at 06:52 AM Saudi time.
Meanwhile, US West Texas Intermediate crude for June delivery dropped by $1.22, representing a 1.1 percent decline and stabilizing at $107.44.
The decrease in prices comes after the benchmarks reached their highest levels since May 5th and April 30th, respectively, in the previous session.
Notably, the June WTI contract was set to expire on Tuesday, while the more actively traded July contract experienced a decline of $1.63, down by 1.6 percent, to $102.75 per barrel.
Trump expressed optimism regarding the potential for an agreement with Iran to prevent the acquisition of nuclear weapons, stating that there is a 'very good chance' such an arrangement could be reached.
The pause in military action has provided some respite, but market analysts remain cautious, questioning whether this represents a genuine move towards de-escalation or merely a strategic delay.
Furthermore, the response from Iran and developments concerning the movement of oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz will significantly influence future pricing trends.
The Middle East tensions have effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, which handles approximately 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, raising supply disruption concerns.
Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed that Tehran's stance had been communicated to the US via Pakistan but did not disclose further details.
A Pakistani official, speaking under the condition of anonymity, indicated that they had relayed a new proposal between the two nations, though progress has been slow.
According to ING analysts, despite the market's potential desensitization to these events, the magnitude and escalating concern over supply disruptions are concerning.
In addition, Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency reported Washington's agreement to waive sanctions on Tehran's oil exports during negotiations; however, this claim was denied by a US official.
Separately, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent extended a sanctions waiver for 30 days allowing 'energy-vulnerable' countries to continue purchasing Russian seaborne oil.
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve in the United States saw a drawdown of a record 9.9 million barrels last week, with Energy Department data showing reserves falling to approximately 374 million barrels, their lowest level since July 2024.
Analysts polled by Reuters forecasted an average decline of about 3.4 million barrels in US crude oil inventories for the week ending May 15th.
Official figures from the Energy Information Administration are scheduled to be released on May 20th.