Saudi Press

Saudi Arabia and the world
Saturday, Nov 15, 2025

The Day After Assad: Can Syria Steer Clear of Libya's Pitfalls?

As Assad’s regime weakens, the Middle East prepares for either a return to stability or a plunge into disorder.
The impending downfall of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria marks a pivotal moment for the Middle East, laden with both risks and opportunities.

Similarities with Libya's spiral into chaos following Muammar Qaddafi's fall highlight that Syria's destiny relies on whether regional and global powers can coordinate a successful post-Assad plan.

Without decisive and collaborative intervention, Syria is at risk of becoming another failed state—a fragmented battleground for uncontrolled militias and geopolitical conflicts.

Libya's disintegration serves as a stark cautionary tale.

After Qaddafi was removed, the lack of a coherent national structure resulted in governance voids, promoting terrorism and regional instability.

However, Syria's situation is more intricate.

Its tribal and ethnic divisions are intensified by higher geopolitical stakes.

The strategic significance of the Golan Heights makes Syria's outcome a crucial security issue for Israel.

While stability might seem ideal, it doesn’t always align with Israel's strategic interests.

A fragmented Syria could weaken Iran's influence, disrupting logistical support for Hezbollah—a strategic consideration Israel cannot overlook.

Regional powers also have a crucial role.

The United States, positioned at the strategic border triangle of Syria, Iraq, and Jordan, holds substantial influence.

Turkey, with its interest in limiting Kurdish autonomy, adds another layer to the complexity.

Could these changing dynamics open the door for new Israeli-Turkish collaboration?

Although such a partnership seems plausible, Turkey's priorities might differ, focusing on its internal issues over broader regional stability.

For Israel, securing the Golan Heights and ensuring demilitarization along its borders are vital.

Yet the challenge extends beyond territorial matters.

Preventing the deployment of advanced weaponry within Syria and cultivating influence with opposition groups will be essential to shaping a favorable environment post-Assad.

Simultaneously, removing Syria from the 'Axis of Resistance'—effectively breaking ties with Iran and Hezbollah—could shift the regional power balance for decades.

Achieving this necessitates a coordinated approach involving the United States, Israel, and other regional stakeholders.

The stakes are immense.

If Syria can avoid Libya's fate, it could set a model for successful post-conflict stabilization in the Middle East.

On the other hand, failure could drag the region deeper into instability.

The day following Assad's departure will redefine not just Syria but also the strategic landscape of the entire region.

The world is watching—will global and regional players rise to the occasion, or will chaos repeat itself in history?
Newsletter

Related Articles

Saudi Press
0:00
0:00
Close
Cristiano Ronaldo Embraces Saudi Arabia’s 2034 World Cup Vision with Key Role
Saudi Arabia’s Execution Campaign Escalates as Crown Prince Readies U.S. Visit
Trump Unveils Middle East Reset: Syria Re-engaged, Saudi Ties Amplified
Saudi Arabia to Build Future Cities Designed with Tourists in Mind, Says Tourism Minister
Saudi Arabia Advances Regulated Stablecoin Plans with Global Crypto Exchange Support
Saudi Arabia Maintains Palestinian State Condition Ahead of Possible Israel Ties
Chinese Steel Exports Surge 41% to Saudi Arabia as Mills Pivot Amid Global Trade Curbs
Saudi Arabia’s Biban Forum 2025 Secures Over US$10 Billion in Deals Amid Global SME Drive
Saudi Arabia Sets Pre-Conditions for Israel Normalisation Ahead of Trump Visit
MrBeast’s ‘Beast Land’ Arrives in Riyadh as Part of Riyadh Season 2025
Cristiano Ronaldo Asserts Saudi Pro League Outperforms Ligue 1 Amid Scoring Feats
AI Researchers Claim Human-Level General Intelligence Is Already Here
Saudi Arabia Pauses Major Stretch of ‘The Line’ Megacity Amid Budget Re-Prioritisation
Saudi Arabia Launches Instant e-Visa Platform for Over 60 Countries
Dick Cheney, Former U.S. Vice President, Dies at 84
Saudi Crown Prince to Visit Trump at White House on November Eighteenth
Trump Predicts Saudi Arabia Will Normalise with Israel Ahead of 18 November Riyadh Visit
Entrepreneurial Momentum in Saudi Arabia Shines at Riyadh Forward 2025 Summit
Saudi Arabia to Host First-Ever International WrestleMania in 2027
Saudi Arabia to Host New ATP Masters Tournament from 2028
Trump Doubts Saudi Demand for Palestinian State Before Israel Normalisation
Viral ‘Sky Stadium’ for Saudi Arabia’s 2034 World Cup Debunked as AI-Generated
Deal Between Saudi Arabia and Israel ‘Virtually Impossible’ This Year, Kingdom Insider Says
Saudi Crown Prince to Visit Washington While Israel Recognition Remains Off-Table
Saudi Arabia Poised to Channel Billions into Syria’s Reconstruction as U.S. Sanctions Linger
Smotrich’s ‘Camels’ Remark Tests Saudi–Israel Normalisation Efforts
Saudi Arabia and Qatar Gain Structural Edge in Asian World Cup Qualification
Israeli Energy Minister Delays $35 Billion Gas Export Agreement with Egypt
Fincantieri and Saudi Arabia Agree to Build Advanced Maritime Ecosystem in Kingdom
Saudi Arabia’s HUMAIN Accelerates AI Ambitions Through Major Partnerships and Infrastructure Push
IOC and Saudi Arabia End Ambitious 12-Year Esports Games Partnership
CSL Seqirus Signs Saudi Arabia Pact to Provide Cell-Based Flu Vaccines and Build Local Production
Qualcomm and Saudi Arabia’s HUMAIN Team Up to Deploy 200 MW AI Infrastructure
Saudi Arabia’s Economy Expands Five Percent in Third Quarter Amid Oil Output Surge
China’s Vice President Han Zheng Meets Saudi Crown Prince as Trade Concerns Loom
Saudi Arabia Unveils Vision for First-Ever "Sky Stadium" Suspended Over Desert Floor
Francis Ford Coppola Auctions Luxury Watches After Self-Financed Film Flop
US and Qatar Warn EU of Trade and Energy Risks from Tough Climate Regulation
‘No Kings’ Protests Inflate Numbers — But History Shows Nations Collapse Without Strong Executive Power
Ofcom Rules BBC’s Gaza Documentary ‘Materially Misleading’ Over Narrator’s Hamas Ties
"The Tsunami Is Coming, and It’s Massive": The World’s Richest Man Unveils a New AI Vision
Yachts, Private Jets, and a Picasso Painting: Exposed as 'One of the Largest Frauds in History'
AI and Cybersecurity at Forefront as GITEX Global 2025 Kicks Off in Dubai
EU Deploys New Biometric Entry/Exit System: What Non-EU Travelers Must Know
Ex-Microsoft Engineer Confirms Famous Windows XP Key Was Leaked Corporate License, Not a Hack
China’s lesson for the US: it takes more than chips to win the AI race
Israel and Hamas Agree to First Phase of Trump-Brokered Gaza Truce, Hostages to Be Freed
The Davos Set in Decline: Why the World Economic Forum’s Power Must Be Challenged
Wave of Complaints Against Apple Over iPhone 17 Pro’s Scratch Sensitivity
Syria Holds First Elections Since Fall of Assad
×