Saudi Press

Saudi Arabia and the world
Thursday, Sep 18, 2025

The Day After Assad: Can Syria Steer Clear of Libya's Pitfalls?

As Assad’s regime weakens, the Middle East prepares for either a return to stability or a plunge into disorder.
The impending downfall of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria marks a pivotal moment for the Middle East, laden with both risks and opportunities.

Similarities with Libya's spiral into chaos following Muammar Qaddafi's fall highlight that Syria's destiny relies on whether regional and global powers can coordinate a successful post-Assad plan.

Without decisive and collaborative intervention, Syria is at risk of becoming another failed state—a fragmented battleground for uncontrolled militias and geopolitical conflicts.

Libya's disintegration serves as a stark cautionary tale.

After Qaddafi was removed, the lack of a coherent national structure resulted in governance voids, promoting terrorism and regional instability.

However, Syria's situation is more intricate.

Its tribal and ethnic divisions are intensified by higher geopolitical stakes.

The strategic significance of the Golan Heights makes Syria's outcome a crucial security issue for Israel.

While stability might seem ideal, it doesn’t always align with Israel's strategic interests.

A fragmented Syria could weaken Iran's influence, disrupting logistical support for Hezbollah—a strategic consideration Israel cannot overlook.

Regional powers also have a crucial role.

The United States, positioned at the strategic border triangle of Syria, Iraq, and Jordan, holds substantial influence.

Turkey, with its interest in limiting Kurdish autonomy, adds another layer to the complexity.

Could these changing dynamics open the door for new Israeli-Turkish collaboration?

Although such a partnership seems plausible, Turkey's priorities might differ, focusing on its internal issues over broader regional stability.

For Israel, securing the Golan Heights and ensuring demilitarization along its borders are vital.

Yet the challenge extends beyond territorial matters.

Preventing the deployment of advanced weaponry within Syria and cultivating influence with opposition groups will be essential to shaping a favorable environment post-Assad.

Simultaneously, removing Syria from the 'Axis of Resistance'—effectively breaking ties with Iran and Hezbollah—could shift the regional power balance for decades.

Achieving this necessitates a coordinated approach involving the United States, Israel, and other regional stakeholders.

The stakes are immense.

If Syria can avoid Libya's fate, it could set a model for successful post-conflict stabilization in the Middle East.

On the other hand, failure could drag the region deeper into instability.

The day following Assad's departure will redefine not just Syria but also the strategic landscape of the entire region.

The world is watching—will global and regional players rise to the occasion, or will chaos repeat itself in history?
Newsletter

Related Articles

Saudi Press
0:00
0:00
Close
Saudi Arabia cracks down on music ‘lounges’ after conservative backlash
Saudi Arabia Signs ‘Strategic Mutual Defence’ Pact with Pakistan, Marking First Arab State to Gain Indirect Access to Nuclear Strike Capabilities in the Region
Sam Altman sells the 'Wedding Estate' in Hawaii for 49 million dollars
Turkish car manufacturer Togg Enters German Market with 5-Star Electric Sedan and SUV to Challenge European EV Brands
World’s Longest Direct Flight China Eastern to Launch 29-Hour Shanghai–Buenos Aires Direct Flight via Auckland in December
New OpenAI Study Finds Majority of ChatGPT Use Is Personal, Not Professional
Kuwait opens bidding for construction of three cities to ease housing crunch.
This Week in AI: Meta’s Superintelligence Push, xAI’s Ten Billion-Dollar Raise, Genesis AI’s Robotics Ambitions, Microsoft Restructuring, Amazon’s Million-Robot Milestone, and Google’s AlphaGenome Update
Indian Student Engineers Propose “Project REBIRTH” to Protect Aircraft from Crashes Using AI, Airbags and Smart Materials
Could AI Nursing Robots Help Healthcare Staffing Shortages?
Turkish authorities seize leading broadcaster amid fraud and tax investigation
Qatari prime minister says Netanyahu ‘killed any hope’ for Israeli hostages
Apple Introduces Ultra-Thin iPhone Air, Enhanced 17 Series and New Health-Focused Wearables
Big Oil Slashes Jobs and Investments Amid Prolonged Low Crude Prices
Social Media Access Curtailed in Turkey After CHP Calls for Rallies Following Police Blockade of Istanbul Headquarters
Did the Houthis disrupt the internet in the Middle East? Submarine cables cut in the Red Sea
Gold Could Reach Nearly $5,000 if Fed Independence Is Undermined, Goldman Sachs Warns
Uruguay, Colombia and Paraguay Secure Places at 2026 World Cup
Trump Administration Advances Plans to Rebrand Pentagon as Department of War Instead of the Fake Term Department of Defense
Tether Expands into Gold Sector with Profit-Driven Diversification
Trump’s New War – and the ‘Drug Tyrant’ Fearing Invasion: ‘1,200 Missiles Aimed at Us’
At the Parade in China: Laser Weapons, 'Eagle Strike,' and a Missile Capable of 'Striking Anywhere in the World'
Information Warfare in the Age of AI: How Language Models Become Targets and Tools
Israeli Airstrike in Yemen Kills Houthi Prime Minister
After the Shock of Defeat, Iranians Yearn for Change
YouTube Altered Content by Artificial Intelligence – Without Permission
Iran Faces Escalating Water Crisis as Protests Spread
More Than Half a Million Evacuated as Typhoon Kajiki Heads for Vietnam
HSBC Switzerland Ends Relationships with Over 1,000 Clients from Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Qatar, and Egypt
Sharia Law Made Legally Binding in Austria Despite Warnings Over 'Incompatible' Values
Dogfights in the Skies: Airbus on Track to Overtake Boeing and Claim Aviation Supremacy
Tim Cook Promises an AI Revolution at Apple: "One of the Most Significant Technologies of Our Generation"
Are AI Data Centres the Infrastructure of the Future or the Next Crisis?
Miles Worth Billions: How Airlines Generate Huge Profits
Zelenskyy Returns to White House Flanked by European Allies as Trump Pressures Land-Swap Deal with Putin
Beijing is moving into gold and other assets, diversifying away from the dollar
Cristiano Ronaldo Makes Surprise Stop at New Hong Kong Museum
Zelenskyy to Visit Washington after Trump–Putin Summit Yields No Agreement
High-Stakes Trump-Putin Summit on Ukraine Underway in Alaska
Iranian Protection Offers Chinese Vehicle Shipments a Cost Advantage over Japanese and Korean Makers
Saudi Arabia accelerates renewables to curb domestic oil use
Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodríguez announce engagement
Asia-Pacific dominates world’s busiest flight routes, with South Korea’s Jeju–Seoul corridor leading global rankings
Private Welsh island with 19th-century fort listed for sale at over £3 million
Sam Altman challenges Elon Musk with plans for Neuralink rival
Australia to Recognize the State of Palestine at UN Assembly
The Collapse of the Programmer Dream: AI Experts Now the Real High-Earners
Armenia and Azerbaijan to Sign US-Brokered Framework Agreement for Nakhchivan Corridor
British Labour Government Utilizes Counter-Terrorism Tools for Social Media Monitoring Against Legitimate Critics
WhatsApp Deletes 6.8 Million Scam Accounts Amid Rising Global Fraud
×