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Friday, May 09, 2025

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Saudi Arabia's Financial Aspirations Amid Global Challenges

Despite global market volatility, Saudi Arabia's financial ecosystem shows resilience and potential for significant growth.
Saudi Arabia’s financial markets are experiencing notable growth amidst a backdrop of global economic uncertainty.

The S&P 500's decline below 6,000 points, compounded by geopolitical tensions and fluctuating oil prices influenced by various international policies, has created a complex investment landscape.

Nevertheless, Saudi Arabia’s economy showed a rebound in 2024 with a reported 1.3 percent growth, fueled by a 4.6 percent rise in non-oil sectors, even as oil activities faced a downturn.

The Kingdom's commitment to economic diversification through Vision 2030 has been pivotal in fostering resilience against external shocks.

Experts highlight the crucial role of ongoing regulatory reforms that align the nation’s financial markets with global standards, enhancing transparency and stability to attract foreign investment.

Vikas Papriwal, a leader in consulting, emphasized that continued innovation in renewable and sustainable energy is vital for Saudi Arabia to weather oil market volatility.

He noted that regulatory improvements, such as announced changes to the Companies Law and guidelines from the Capital Market Authority (CMA), have begun to enhance the Kingdom's appeal to international investors.

In recent years, Saudi Arabia's inclusion in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has increased its share from 2.7 percent in 2019 to a notable 4 percent, while foreign investments in the Saudi Exchange have surged, increasing 25 times to reach approximately $100 billion.

This trend highlights growing opportunities for global investment in the Kingdom's financial markets.

Saudi Arabia's stock exchange, known as Tadawul, now ranks among the top ten global markets, with a market capitalization of $2.9 trillion as of late 2024. The exchange's prominence was further bolstered by the initial public offering of Aramco in 2019, which raised over $25 billion, underscoring the Kingdom's capacity to attract substantial capital from foreign investors.

Serkan Teker from a major consultancy noted that foreign investor engagement has risen significantly due to Tadawul's inclusion in key global indices, but emphasized the need for continued evolution to enhance liquidity and diversify sector representation within the capital markets.

The banking sector has also been a strong contributor to the Kingdom's non-oil GDP growth, demonstrating an annual increase of almost 11 percent from late 2018 to early 2023, while reducing non-performing loans since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Beyond the financial sector, Saudi Arabia is implementing innovative strategies aimed at enhancing its attractiveness to outside investors.

This includes the establishment of new free zones and specialized economic areas that focus on critical sectors like healthcare and technology, further positioning the Kingdom as a hub for commerce.

Investment in artificial intelligence and financial technologies is advancing at a rapid pace, with a reported 25 percent increase in the fintech market in 2024, driven by digital transformation initiatives encouraged by the Saudi Central Bank.

The Kingdom has initiated substantial investments in AI, including a $40 billion tech fund, to bolster its technological infrastructure and support the burgeoning innovation ecosystem.

Despite these advancements, Tadawul faces challenges, including ongoing geopolitical instability in the Middle East and ongoing global market volatility.

Analysts argue that Tadawul must adapt by transitioning from a national exchange to one that serves multiple regions, and by becoming more technology-driven in facilitating financial services.

As part of its broader Vision 2030 strategy, Saudi Arabia is focusing on innovation and sustainability in finance, promoting inclusive economic growth through digital services and comprehensive financial literacy programs to reach previously underserved populations.

Teker noted that by refining its regulatory frameworks and enhancing partnerships with fintech firms and international players, Saudi Arabia can better secure its position as a competitive force in the evolving global financial landscape.
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