Saudi Press

Saudi Arabia and the world
Saturday, May 04, 2024

US-China relations are entering a dangerous period- Why cool heads must prevail

US-China relations are entering a dangerous period- Why cool heads must prevail

In a book of essays called “The Next Great War?”, which examines Sino-American relations through the lens of the first world war, Richard Rosecrance warns of “the tyranny of small things”, the points of friction and misunderstanding between rival powers that, without leadership to manage them, can lead to conflict. China and America today are not about to take up arms, but small things are rapidly accumulating. The two distrust each other more now than at any point since Richard Nixon went to China almost 50 years ago. As a presidential election draws near, the potential for dangerous miscalculation is growing.
On July 27th America’s consulate in Chengdu closed on orders from Beijing. It was in retaliation for the Trump administration’s order, a week earlier, to close China’s consulate in Houston, the first such moves since the normalisation of relations in 1979. This capped a month in which America sanctioned a sitting member of China’s Politburo, also a first, over the internment of Uighurs in Xinjiang; declared China’s expansive claims in the South China Sea illegal; ceased to recognise Hong Kong as distinct from mainland China; and claimed a victory in its campaign against Huawei, when Britain announced that it would bar the telecoms-equipment giant from its 5G networks.

For the hawks who surround President Donald Trump, this is overdue. In a series of four speeches that evoked the cold war, they laid out their case for abandoning “blind engagement” with China for a more confrontational relationship. On June 26th Robert O’Brien, the national security adviser, said that Xi Jinping, China’s president, “sees himself as Josef Stalin’s successor”. On July 7th Christopher Wray, the FBI director, claimed that China was seeking to become “the world’s only superpower by any means necessary”, and warned of its extensive efforts to spy on, influence and co-opt Americans. On July 17th William Barr, the attorney-general, charged that Hollywood studios and America’s tech giants had become “pawns of Chinese influence”. And on July 23rd Mike Pompeo, the secretary of state, declared that Mr Xi was engaged in a decades-long battle for global supremacy, and that America and other democracies must fight back.

A new, realistic strategy for standing up to China would be welcome. The atrocities in Xinjiang and the demolition of the rule of law in Hong Kong demand a tougher response than the world has mustered thus far. China’s territorial ambitions in its near seas are worrying. Its economic leverage over trade partners and companies sets it apart as an adversary from its communist predecessor, the Soviet Union. In calling attention to the comprehensive and complex threat Mr Xi’s China poses, Mr Trump’s hawks have achieved something.

But their speeches add up to an attitude, not a strategy. They articulate a compelling argument for imposing pain on China, but no framework for judging how and when to do so. They talk about working with allies in loose, aspirational terms. They have little to offer on larger geopolitical concerns like climate change, other than to say China cannot be trusted to keep its commitments.

Another president might formulate a grand vision for how to engage China under such conditions. These hawks have Mr Trump. His disregard for democratic allies and the cause of human rights, and his personal affinity for Mr Xi, make him singularly ill-suited to lead a contest with China over global values. He has gripes with China, over trade and covid-19, but these are not rooted in principle. His eyes are on what can get him re-elected.

That sets up a combustible dynamic in the months ahead. As the election approaches, Mr Trump could be persuaded to take more dramatic action—say, financial sanctions on Chinese banks in Hong Kong, or a military display of support for Taiwan. A mishap or misunderstanding could prove perilous. It is right to want to chart a more robust course in Sino-American relations—but it would also be wise to beware the tyranny of small things.
Newsletter

Related Articles

Saudi Press
0:00
0:00
Close
Apple Faces Significant Sales Decline Amid AI Integration Delay
Netanyahu's Firm Stance Amid Rafah Hostage Talks
BlackRock to Establish Saudi Investment Firm
Dubai's New Al Maktoum International Airport: World's Largest with ₹2900 Crores Investment, 5 Runways, and 260 Million Annual Capacity
New UK Laws: Banning Weak Passwords for Internet-Connected Devices to Enhance Cybersecurity
Blinken on Gaza: Ceasefire is Key to Humanitarian Crisis Resolution
UAE Prime Minister Announces $544M for Home Repairs after Historic Rains, Vows to Learn from Experience
Germany Sends New Frigate to Red Sea to Protect Ships Amid Houthi Attacks
Isfahan Explosions: US Media Reports Israel's Retaliatory Strikes on Iran
Four Dead, Dubai Airport Disrupted: UAE's Heaviest Rains in 75 Years Cause Flooding and Flight Chaos
Dubai's Historic Flooding: Homes Ruined, Airport Disrupted Due to Lack of Storm Drains
Meteorologist Warns of 'Weather Wars' Amid Debate over Dubai Rain and Cloud Seeding
Saudi Arabia Leads in Artificial Intelligence Development: Ranked First by Stanford University Index
Dubai's Airport and Roads Disrupted for Third Day Amid Heavy Rain and Flooding: 1,285 Flights Cancelled or Diverted
Doha Hamad Overtakes Singapore Changi as World's Best Airport in Skytrax Awards 2024
Dubai Airports: Stranded Tourists 'Living on Duty Free,' Desperate for Food and Water
Turkish President Erdogan to Host Hamas Leader Haniyeh Amidst Israel Tensions
BOEING WHISTLEBLOWER: THE MAX AIRPLANE IS NOT SAFE!!!
Creative menu of a Pizza restaurant..
Heavy Rains Cause Flooding in UAE and Oman: 18 Lives Lost
Look at this weather in Dubai. It looks like the end of days
You can be a very successful player, but a player with character is another level!
Come to Dubai, ya Habibi
Stay safe, ya Habibi
Dubai underwater, Influencers are stranded in their Rolls Royces in flooded roads as skies turn black in apocalyptic scenes as storm hits region.
Unprecedented Flooding Disrupts Dubai
Experience the Future of Dining: My Visit to an AI-Powered Burger Joint
Ajman Crown Prince Declares Remote Work Day for Government Employees Due to Weather (Except Essential Jobs)
UK Urges Israel to Avoid Escalation in Iran-Israel Tensions: 'Time to Be Smart'
Iran's New Strategy: Direct Retaliation Against Israel After Damascus Consulate Attack
Saudi Finance Minister to Lead Delegation at IMF-World Bank Meetings: Discussing Global Economic Developments and Saudi Arabia's Three-Year Chairmanship
Saudi Arabia Leads the Way in Metaverse Adoption: $7.6 Billion Economic Opportunity by 2030
Saudi ADES Wins $93.3m Contract from TotalEnergies to Operate Jack-up Rig in Qatar
Saudi's Knowledge Economic City Co. Signs $78m Deals for 396 Al-Alya Residential Apartments
Saudi Arabia's EV Revolution: Crown Prince Drives Electric Vehicle Industry Forward in Middle East
UN Chief Warns: Middle East on Brink of Devastating Conflict Between Iran and Israel - Calls for Maximum Restraint
Israeli Military: Hamas Holds Hostages in Rafah, Netanyahu Plans Ground Invasion
Israel and Allies Form Coalition After Iran's Missile Attack on Israel: First Time Against Iran's Threats in Middle East
IDF released footage showing Israeli fighter jets downing some of the 300 drones and missiles fired from Iran at Israel.
The West stands with Israel, Iran is furious: "Double standards and irresponsibility"
Huge Queues at Iranian Gas Stations
Stabbing rampage terror attack in Sydney, at least four people killed, early reports that a baby was among those stabbed.
Scandal in Iran after a goalkeeper had the audacity to hug a female fan who stormed the pitch
Iran fired more than 300 drones and missiles at Israel overnight. Israel Reports Light Damage After Iran Launches Large Strike.
Saudi Arabia calls for "restraint" amid Iranian strikes on Israel
Israel Closes Airspace in Response to Iranian Drones Attack
Iran's Revolutionary Guard Seizes Israeli-Affiliated Ship near Hormuz: Escalating Tensions in the Middle East
Iran launched dozens of drones at Israel on Saturday but they will take hours to reach their targets, Israel's military said
Scientists at the University of Maryland have developed an "invisibility cloak", for AI using adversarial patterns on a sweater, making the wearer nearly undetectable to standard object detection methods.
Online YouTube streamer N3ON was just sentenced to AN ENTIRE YEAR in prison in Dubai for filming and live-streaming, without “proper permits”
×