Research reveals the scale of asset seizures and nationalization as Russia adopts a 'fortress economy' model during the war in Ukraine.
Russian authorities have confiscated assets worth approximately $50 billion over the past three years, showcasing the magnitude of the economic shift towards a 'fortress Russia' model amidst the conflict with Ukraine.
This significant asset transfer was triggered by the departure of numerous Western companies from the Russian market and the expropriation or seizure of assets belonging to major Russian businesses.In response to what Russia deems as unlawful actions by Western nations, President Vladimir Putin has issued decrees over the past three years allowing for the confiscation of Western-owned assets.
This action affects a wide range of international firms, including Germany's Uniper and Denmark's Carlsberg brewery.The legal mechanisms employed have also led to changes in ownership among major domestic companies, often due to claims of corruption, alleged violations of privatization laws, or poor management.
According to Moscow law firm NSP (Nektorov, Saveliev & Partners), the total value of nationalized assets amounts to 3.9 trillion roubles over a three-year period.The research, first reported by Kommersant, one of Russia's leading newspapers, is seen as emblematic of Russia's pursuit of an economic model distinct from global integration.
This move comes against the backdrop of the Soviet Union's dissolution in 1991, which initially promised to transition Russia into a free-market economy intertwined with the global market.
However, widespread corruption, economic instability, and organized crime undermined confidence in democratic capitalism throughout the 1990s.During Putin's first eight years in power, there was support for economic freedoms, targeting of so-called oligarchs, and significant economic growth from $200 billion in 1999 to $1.8 trillion in 2008.
Despite economic growth reaching $2.3 trillion between 2008 and 2022, the imposition of Western sanctions after Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 severely impacted the economy.Though the Russian economy has shown resilience during the conflict with Ukraine, its nominal size in 2024 stood at just $2.2 trillion—far smaller than China, the European Union, or the United States, according to figures from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).Russian officials argue that the war necessitates extraordinary economic measures against what they perceive as Western efforts to weaken the Russian economy.
Putin claims that the exit of foreign firms has allowed domestic producers to step in and that sanctions have spurred local businesses to innovate.
The conflict has, however, significantly bolstered the state's influence over the economy at the expense of private enterprises.As part of this shift, Russian prosecutors are seeking to take control of billionaire Konstantin Strukov’s majority stake in Uzhuralzoloto (UGC), a major gold producer.
Over a thousand companies, including McDonald's and
Mercedes-Benz, have left Russia since the February 2022 onset of the war with Ukraine—either by selling their assets, handing over operations to existing managers, or abandoning them entirely.
Others have seen their assets seized and subsequently forced into state hands.