The Rwanda Asylum Partnership aims to bypass legal roadblocks hindering the UK's attempts to deport refugees to Rwanda, as established in a 2022 agreement aimed at curbing illegal channel crossings orchestrated by people smugglers.
Under the scheme, individuals arriving illegally would be sent to Rwanda while their asylum claims are processed. Approved claimants could return to the UK, while those denied would stay in Rwanda or seek asylum elsewhere.
No migrants have been transferred yet, as legal challenges argue that such actions may contravene international human rights standards. The Rwanda Safety Bill is designed to address these human rights concerns, but the UN Refugee Agency remains skeptical of its compliance with international laws, indicating future legal disputes.
Despite the bill's passage in the House of Commons, further legislative scrutiny is impending, potentially disrupting its enactment, which will be problematic for Sunak considering his pledge for an impending general election.
Nigel Farage's highlight of the increase in cross-channel small boat arrivals has influenced the Conservative party's stringent immigration stance. Although stopping these boats is a central promise of Sunak's premiership, its impact on overall migration is minimal. With total net migration significantly high, small boat arrivals represent just a fraction.
While the public's stance on migration is subject to the framing of survey questions, politicians face the challenge of catering to diverse preferences on immigration. Sunak's focus on the migration issue is seen more as an appeasement to party members concerned with Farage's influence rather than a confident electoral strategy. Facing pressure from both legal scrutiny and party expectations, Sunak's immigration policy may prove an unwinnable battle as the election approaches.